Projections, Forecasts & Estimations

 

MarketsActualQ3/15Q4/15Q1/16Q2/162020 
Currency 3.81 3.89 3.9 3.84 3.74 3.52  
Government Bond 10Y 3.91 4.1 4.2 4.1 4.3 4.86  
Stock Market 1709.76 1732 1719 1706 1693 1925  
GDPActualQ3/15Q4/15Q1/16Q2/162020 
GDP 326.93 350 356 360 365 427  
GDP Growth Rate 1.20 1.63 0.89 2.26 2.19 1.22  
GDP Annual Growth Rate 5.60 5.4 5 4.69 4.69 4.84  
GDP Constant Prices 254386.00 254557 260564 254719 260406 231260  
Gross National Product 246.50 948 1276 1649 2082 10636  
GDP per capita 7304.14 7099 7148 7181 7215 7945  
Gross Fixed Capital Formation 67610.00 76670 78719 80791 82322 59913  
GDP per capita PPP 23578.51 23791 23982 24086 24189 26387  
GDP From Agriculture 20689.00 22448 22497 22506 22508 22508  
GDP From Construction 11659.00 12101 12321 12542 12763 16738  
GDP From Manufacturing 57967.00 58004 59815 58040 59780 59520  
GDP From Mining 24719.00 23297 23234 23219 23215 23214  
GDP From Services 136380.00 137074 137090 137092 137093 137093  
LabourActualQ3/15Q4/15Q1/16Q2/162020 
Unemployment Rate 3.10 2.86 2.87 3.2 2.98 2.98  
Employed Persons 13768.00 13969 14052 14139 14227 15815  
Unemployed Persons 429.00 426 425 423 422 404  
Job Vacancies 214472.00 237000 236000 235386 236166 200000  
Labor Force Participation Rate 67.60 67.5 67.5 67.62 67.83 68.5  
Wages in Manufacturing 2859.00 2874 2842 2817 2796 2723  
Population 30.40 30.82 30.95 31.07 31.19 33.18  
Retirement Age Women 60.00 60 60 60 60 60  
Retirement Age Men 60.00 60 60 60 60 60  
Minimum Wages 900.00 900 900 900 900 900  
PricesActualQ3/15Q4/15Q1/16Q2/162020 
Inflation Rate 2.50 2.28 2.47 2.55 2.25 3.05  
Consumer Price Index CPI 113.00 113 113 114 114 123  
GDP Deflator 109.00 117 115 115 113 135  
Producer Prices 103.50 103 102 104 103 110  
Import Prices 130.20 130 130 130 130 132  
Food Inflation 3.40 3.52 3.53 3.53 3.53 4.1  
Inflation Rate Mom 0.60 0.15 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19  
MoneyActualQ3/15Q4/15Q1/16Q2/162020 
Interest Rate 3.25 3.25 3.25 3.5 3.5 3.5  
Interbank Rate 3.73 3.9 3.9 3.87 3.79 3.8  
Money Supply M0 73699.99 74576 75605 76705 77777 96495  
Money Supply M1 352321.26 366058 372257 379434 386350 508610  
Money Supply M2 1567738.77 1616313 1641958 1667477 1692931 2133476  
Money Supply M3 1576329.47 1621616 1646138 1670518 1694821 2118685  
Foreign Exchange Reserves 107424.10 109108 108542 107600 106880 103279  
Loans to Private Sector 1480053.37 1493730 1504549 1513304 1520162 1972270  
Banks Balance Sheet 2268065.30 2335342 2380308 2426015 2472324 3258551  
Central Bank Balance Sheet 420631.40 436879 435754 433786 433335 433726  
TradeActualQ3/15Q4/15Q1/16Q2/162020 
Balance of Trade 5510.00 7509 7570 7602 7036 7035  
Exports 60454.20 61312 60794 60546 60362 61483  
Imports 54941.00 55190 54620 54325 54138 54844  
Current Account 9968.00 11931 11075 8609 10033 20000  
Current Account to GDP 7.10 5.97 6.55 6.62 6.7 3  
External Debt 768147.32 768010 765704 762960 759892 667749  
Terms of Trade 104.60 106 107 108 108 105  
Tourist Arrivals 2242077.00 2129804 2333322 2198632 2197747 2197841  
Gold Reserves 37.01 37.66 37.11 36.32 35.58 35.97  
Crude Oil Production 697.00 650 648 647 647 647  
Foreign Direct Investment 9888.26 15059 17481 19483 20861 19625  
GovernmentActualQ3/15Q4/15Q1/16Q2/162020 
Government Budget -3.50 -3.14 -3.06 -2.98 -2.9 -3.6  
Government Debt to GDP 52.80 52.4 51.74 51.52 51.3 49.79  
Government Budget Value -3872.80 997 1674 286 -857 377  
Government Spending 30455.00 30480 37155 30505 37130 35569  
Credit Rating 66.50            
BusinessActualQ3/15Q4/15Q1/16Q2/162020 
Business Confidence 101.00 101 103 106 107 115  
Industrial Production 4.50 2.41 2.08 2.04 2.07 2.22  
Industrial Production Mom 1.50 0.36 0.49 0.42 0.4 0.17  
Manufacturing Production 3.20 4.3 4.36 4.66 4.57 4.57  
Capacity Utilization 78.40 78.78 78.9 78.09 78.49 78.16  
Changes in Inventories -2522.00 818 -5387 -3347 -1465 1520  
Bankruptcies 1621.00 1620 1592 1570 1553 1638  
Car Registrations 81577.00 117403 115164 113980 113268 115575  
Car Production 19856.00            
Competitiveness Index 5.15 5.14 5.14 5.06 5.04 4.97  
Competitiveness Rank 20.00 22.5 22.5 22.5 22.5 21.99  
Corruption Index 52.00 51.59 51.42 51.32 51.21 49.48  
Corruption Rank 50.00 48 48 48 48 48.4  
Ease of Doing Business 18.00 16.21 17.61 17.56 17.52 17.27  
Leading Economic Index 118.60 119 119 119 118 118  
Mining Production 9.00 1.77 1.2 0.95 0.84 2.5  
ConsumerActualQ3/15Q4/15Q1/16Q2/162020 
Consumer Confidence 72.60 86.84 96.97 105 110 105  
Consumer Spending 135507.00 134052 134040 134041 134041 126644  
Bank Lending Rate 4.61 4.72 4.81 4.89 4.97 5.08  
Gasoline Prices 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.52  
HousingActualQ3/15Q4/15Q1/16Q2/162020 
Housing Index 4.10 8.28 9.32 9.91 10.37 8.86  
TaxesActualQ3/15Q4/15Q1/16Q2/162020 
Corporate Tax Rate 25.00 25.09 25.09 25.09 25.09 25  
Personal Income Tax Rate 26.00 26.1 26.1 26.12 26.15 25.86  
Sales Tax Rate 6.00 8 8 8 8 7.43  
Social Security Rate 25.29 25.29 25.29 25.29 25.29 25.29  
Social Security Rate For Companies 13.78 13.78 13.78 13.78 13.78 13.78  
Social Security Rate For Employees 11.51 11.51 11.51 11.51 11.51 11.51